Fire SuitedTier 2
at 幻想遊戲世界店冠賽
decks
1
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.2%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1226
· median 1226
· range 1226–1226
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1156
Q1 1253
Q3 1412
1550
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 17.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.4% | +4.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 17.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.1 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suited decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
